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    <title>Prediction Signals</title>
    <link>https://predictionsignals.com</link>
    <description>Intelligence for Prediction Markets</description>
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    <lastBuildDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>

    <item>
      <title>Kalshi Ordered to Halt Operations in Michigan After Judge Cites Risk to Young Users</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ordered-halt-michigan</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ordered-halt-michigan</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[An Ingham County Circuit Court judge issued a temporary two-week shutdown order against Kalshi on June 30, ruling the platform operates as unlicensed sports betting and poses an "irreparable" risk to young users. Kalshi says it will comply while fighting the order, calling it an attempt to protect gaming monopolies.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Meta Tried to Buy Kalshi Before Zuckerberg Built His Own Prediction Market App</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-tried-to-buy-kalshi-before-building-arena</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-tried-to-buy-kalshi-before-building-arena</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[NPR reported exclusively that Mark Zuckerberg tried to buy Kalshi - meeting personally with CEO Tarek Mansour - before the talks fell apart and he directed a team to build Arena instead. Meta tried, didn't close it, and is now building directly against the company it couldn't own.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>AI Earnings Research Indicators Are Turning Prediction Markets Into a Trading Edge</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/ai-earnings-research-indicators-prediction-markets</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/ai-earnings-research-indicators-prediction-markets</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Prediction markets are now generating real-time earnings signals that move faster than analyst revisions. How AI-powered indicators that cross-reference options implied moves, analyst estimate momentum, and platform odds are changing the way serious traders approach earnings season.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Mysterious Solana Project world.xyz Unveiled as Fully Onchain Prediction Market</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/solana-world-xyz-prediction-market-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/solana-world-xyz-prediction-market-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The mysterious globe-and-tagline campaign that racked up millions of views on X turned out to be World, a fully onchain prediction market on Solana. We break down the launch, the $80,000 domain acquisition, the role of Vibhu Nair's cryptic teases, and what Solana's growing prediction market stack means for the CFTC-licensed model.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Op-Ed: Why We Are Raising $2.1 Billion to Build a Prediction Platform Without the Bet</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/alex-safebets-world-op-ed-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/alex-safebets-world-op-ed-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[SafeBets CEO Alex argues the prediction industry was built on a flaw and explains how SafeBets.world is raising $2.1 billion to build a no-wager platform that rewards forecasting skill through a Collective Intelligence trading engine.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Cboe Predicts: The Old Guard Enters the Arena</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cboe-predicts-binary-options-sp500-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cboe-predicts-binary-options-sp500-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Cboe announced Cboe Predicts, reviving S&amp;P 500 binary options. Kalshi has 5 million monthly active users; Schwab has 35 million account holders. Nasdaq also confirmed binary index options coming this year.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>The CFTC's 267-Page Rulebook: Prediction Markets Finally Get a Federal Framework</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-267-page-rulebook-prediction-markets-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-267-page-rulebook-prediction-markets-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The CFTC published a 267-page Notice of Proposed Rulemaking establishing the first coherent federal framework for event contracts. Comment period closes July 27.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Soldier's $409,881 Polymarket Bet Triggers First-Ever Prediction Market Insider Trading Prosecution</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/van-dyke-polymarket-insider-trading-military-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/van-dyke-polymarket-insider-trading-military-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[U.S. Army Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke used classified intelligence about Operation Absolute Resolve to turn $33,034 into $409,881 on Polymarket. First federal insider trading prosecution via a prediction market.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Meta Bets on Arena: Zuckerberg Eyes Polymarket and Kalshi Partnerships</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-arena-polymarket-kalshi-partnership-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-arena-polymarket-kalshi-partnership-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Mark Zuckerberg has directed Meta executives to explore partnerships with both Polymarket and Kalshi, alongside an internal prediction markets app called Arena targeting 100 million monthly active users.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>World Cup 2026: The Knockout Markets Are Live</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-2026-knockout-prediction-markets</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-2026-knockout-prediction-markets</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Combined open-market volume on Polymarket and Kalshi's World Cup winner contracts has crossed $4.1 billion. France leads at 24%, Argentina at 20%, Spain has faded to 11%.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Kalshi Is Thinking About an IPO. Just Not This Year.</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ipo-tarek-mansour-cnbc-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ipo-tarek-mansour-cnbc-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour confirmed the company is considering a public markets debut on CNBC Squawk Box. A listing is not coming in 2026, but with a $22 billion valuation and annualized revenue past $2 billion, the question is no longer whether Kalshi goes public. It is when.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>CFTC Sues Kentucky, Its First Republican-Led State, in Ninth Prediction Market Battle</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-sues-kentucky-prediction-markets-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-sues-kentucky-prediction-markets-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The CFTC filed a federal lawsuit against Kentucky on June 23, 2026, after the state attorney general sued Kalshi and Polymarket and the legislature imposed a 14.25% excise tax on prediction market transactions. Kentucky is the ninth state the CFTC has sued, and the first with a Republican attorney general.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Session Recap: Mick Bransfield on the History of Prediction Markets</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/mick-bransfield-prediction-markets-history-recap</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/mick-bransfield-prediction-markets-history-recap</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[One of the most talked-about sessions at Prediction Conference: a deep dive into how prediction markets evolved from early political forecasting to a billion-dollar industry.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Domer and Scottilicious at PMC 2026: The $88K Trade as Proof of Concept</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/domer-scottilicious-trading-floor-88k-polymarket</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/domer-scottilicious-trading-floor-88k-polymarket</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[At PMC 2026, Scottilicious broke down his trading approach on stage. Nearly two months later, a single $88,817.04 Polymarket position validated everything he described. Here is what he and Domer covered.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Polymarket Under Fire: WSJ Investigation Exposes Fake Video Campaign Targeting US Users</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/polymarket-wsj-market-creator-conflict-allegations</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/polymarket-wsj-market-creator-conflict-allegations</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[A Wall Street Journal investigation found that Polymarket secretly paid creators via a contractor called Virality to flood TikTok, YouTube, and Instagram with staged fake winning-bet videos targeting US users, who are barred from the platform.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Charles Schwab Is Moving Into Prediction Markets With Event-Based Options</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/charles-schwab-event-based-options-prediction-markets</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/charles-schwab-event-based-options-prediction-markets</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Charles Schwab is planning event-based options on the S&amp;P 500, a move into prediction market territory following Kalshi expansion into Canada.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>World Cup 2026: Winners, Losers, and the Biggest Prediction Market Trades</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-2026-prediction-markets-winners-losers</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-2026-prediction-markets-winners-losers</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The 2026 World Cup has been a prediction market goldmine and a graveyard. Big upsets wiped out heavy positions while some traders hit seven figures in profit.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Mark Zuckerberg Is Building a Prediction Market. Here Is What We Know About Arena.</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-arena-prediction-market-zuckerberg-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/meta-arena-prediction-market-zuckerberg-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Meta has greenlit an internal project called Arena, a Polymarket-style app that would let users earn points for predicting real-world outcomes. With 3.3 billion monthly active users across its platforms, Meta would be the largest distribution play in prediction market history.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>First Speakers Announced for Prediction Markets Conference 2026</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-conference-2026-first-speakers-announced</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-conference-2026-first-speakers-announced</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Prediction Markets Conference 2026 has revealed its first wave of speakers, including Flip Pidot, Miguel Morel of Arkham Intelligence, and John Phillips, founder of PredictIt. The November conference lands squarely in the middle of the midterm election cycle.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Novig Hires Former Kalshi General Counsel as Chief Regulatory Officer in Federal Push</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/novig-hires-kalshi-gc-mishory-chief-regulatory-officer-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/novig-hires-kalshi-gc-mishory-chief-regulatory-officer-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Sports prediction market Novig has appointed Elie Mishory, former Kalshi chief regulatory officer and general counsel and ex-DOGE senior advisor at the SEC, as its chief regulatory and legal affairs officer as the company expands under its new CFTC Designated Contract Market designation.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Global Regulators Are Cracking Down on Prediction Markets. Here Is Where Things Stand.</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/global-prediction-markets-regulatory-crackdown-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/global-prediction-markets-regulatory-crackdown-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[A Bloomberg intelligence survey of 12 countries reveals a world moving fast to restrict prediction markets. The US is the only major economy building a regulated framework while most others draw up bans.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>All In: Inside Delphi Markets, the Startup Building the Data Infrastructure for the Prediction Economy</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/delphi-markets-sponsor-spotlight</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/delphi-markets-sponsor-spotlight</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The founders dropped out of Carnegie Mellon, spent five figures to shed their original name, and are now building the layer that turns fragmented prediction markets into something that looks like a real asset class.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Kalshi Built an AI Agent to Run Its Markets. Here Is What That Looks Like in Practice.</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ai-agent-harrison-prediction-markets</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/kalshi-ai-agent-harrison-prediction-markets</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Kalshi built an internal AI agent called Harrison to stress-test contract wording, verify market resolutions, and handle daily operational tasks across its $178B annualized trading platform.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Wall Street Is Taking Prediction Markets Seriously. And It Is Changing Everything.</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/wall-street-prediction-markets-institutional-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/wall-street-prediction-markets-institutional-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[From Citadel to JPMorgan to Goldman Sachs, institutional finance is circling prediction markets. Here is what changed, who is already in, and what infrastructure is being built.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>CFTC Opens the Gates: A New Era of Federally Regulated Prediction Markets</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-prediction-markets-regulatory-framework-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-prediction-markets-regulatory-framework-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[ProphetX wins dual DCM/DCO approval, FanDuel Predicts goes nationwide, and the CFTC publishes its proposed rulemaking. The federal framework for prediction markets is here.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>EDGE Markets Raises $29.2M to Build Banking Infrastructure for Prediction Markets</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/edge-markets-raises-29m-banking-infrastructure-prediction-markets</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/edge-markets-raises-29m-banking-infrastructure-prediction-markets</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 11 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[EDGE Markets, a Platinum Sponsor of the April 2026 Prediction Markets Conference, has closed a $29.2M Series A to solve the capital constraint problem facing institutional traders across prediction market exchanges.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>CFTC Issues First-Ever Prediction Markets Rules: What the New Regulations Mean for Traders</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-prediction-markets-rules-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/cftc-prediction-markets-rules-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[The CFTC released its Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for event contracts on June 10, 2026, the first formal regulatory framework in the industry's history. Here's what changes for traders on Kalshi, Polymarket, and beyond.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>$1.8 Billion in World Cup Bets: How Prediction Markets Are Changing Sports Finance</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-prediction-markets-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/world-cup-prediction-markets-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Polymarket has seen over $1.8 billion in World Cup prediction market volume. Sports markets are now the fastest-growing segment of the industry, and the 2026 World Cup is the biggest test yet.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>From $500M to $24 Billion a Month: How Prediction Markets Became a Serious Financial Asset Class</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-industry-growth-24-billion-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-industry-growth-24-billion-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Monthly trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket has hit $24 billion. We break down what's driving the explosive growth and what a $1 trillion industry looks like by 2030.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>98.7% Sure: What Prediction Markets Are Saying About Fed Rate Decisions</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/fed-rate-prediction-markets-june-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/fed-rate-prediction-markets-june-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Prediction markets are pricing a 98.7% probability of no rate change at the next Fed meeting. Here's why interest rate markets have become one of the most-traded categories on Kalshi and Polymarket.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Bitcoin Price Predictions and the Rise of Crypto Prediction Markets</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/bitcoin-crypto-prediction-markets-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/bitcoin-crypto-prediction-markets-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Crypto prediction markets are emerging as a new layer of financial infrastructure for digital asset traders, combining the precision of binary contracts with the volatility of crypto markets.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>Speaker Applications Now Open for Prediction Markets Conference, this November in Las Vegas</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-conference-speaker-applications-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/prediction-markets-conference-speaker-applications-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[Following a sold-out inaugural event this April, the Prediction Markets Conference is accepting speaker applications for November 3-5, Las Vegas.]]></description>
    </item>

    <item>
      <title>"Risk-Free Prediction": SafeBets Executive Director Gina Antoniello's Keynote at the Prediction Markets Conference</title>
      <link>https://predictionsignals.com/news/safebets-gina-antoniello-keynote-prediction-markets-conference-2026</link>
      <guid>https://predictionsignals.com/news/safebets-gina-antoniello-keynote-prediction-markets-conference-2026</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[SafeBets Executive Director and NYU Professor Gina Antoniello challenged the industry's zero-sum model at the April 2026 conference and introduced a platform built to reach 200 million users without risking a dollar of user capital.]]></description>
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